How To Run A Football Parlay
If you want to get risky, you can parlay both the Rams and Ravens on the moneyline and get a big payday with your NFL picks. NFL Pick: Ravens +2.5 (-110) at BetOnline NFL Saturday Parlay (+725). The keys to look for in winning a parlay card are as follows. 1) Bet more and keep the teams low. I recommend keeping parlays to 2, 3, or 4 teams.
Before you can learn how to make parlay cards, you need to have a good understanding of what a parlay is and how it works. I cover parlay bets, especially football parlays, in detail in the beginning of this post.
I offer advice about how to actually make the parlay cards later in this post, too.
(By the way, parlays are also often called accumulator or combination bets, but parlay is the most common term used in American sports betting.)
College Football Playoff odds, line: Notre Dame vs. Alabama picks, predictions from expert on 9-1 run Emory Hunt is 9-1 in his last 10 against-the-spread picks involving the Crimson Tide, and he's. For a single bet, 2 to 8 teams or totals can be selected. In order for the parlay bet to win, every one of the wagers must win or push (tie). If any of the selections lose, your wager loses, regardless of the outcome or cancellation of the other games.
What Is a Parlay Card and How Do Parlay Bets Work?
A parlay bet is a single bet on multiple outcomes. It’s basically a combination of bets, and the parlay only wins if all the outcomes win. Those bets are listed on a parlay card.
Having multiple bets in play at one time provides you with a bigger payout, but you also have a smaller probability of winning.
I like to think of things in terms of casino bets, so I think of a parlay as being like a bet that you’ll win black twice in a row on the roulette table. If you win, you might get paid off at 3 to 1 instead of the usual even money action. But your probability of winning 2 bets in a row is obviously much lower.
But parlays are usually thought of in terms of sports. And most sports parlays consist of 2 to 10 different bets on the same card.
For example, you might choose 4 football teams to win their games this Sunday:
- Dallas Cowboys
- New Orleans Saints
- New England Patriots
- Tennessee Titans
You COULD just place a single bet on each of those games, and that would be fun.
But if you place a bet on all 4 of them on a parlay, you’ll win more than you would even if you won the 4 individual bets.
And you only win the parlay bet if you’re right about all 4 teams. If even one team on your parlay loses, you’ve lost the bet.
You could also face a situation where one of the games tie. That’s called a “push.” If that happens, you don’t lose your parlay, but you’re only paid off as if you’d placed a smaller parlay—it’s as if that game didn’t exist on your card.
In the example above, where you’re betting on 4 games at the same time, if one of the games resulted in a tie, you’d get paid off as if you’d bet on a 3-game parlay. It’s a smaller payoff, but that’s better than a loss.
Parlay Odds, Probability, and Payouts
It should go without saying that the more games on the parlay card, the lower your odds of winning are. That’s because the odds of multiple things happening get multiplied by each other.
Let’s say that each of the teams on your 4-game parlay above have a 50% probability of winning. The probability that all 4 of them will win is:
50% X 50% X 50% X 50%, or 6.25%. That’s the same thing as 16 to 1 odds.
A 4-team parlay bet usually pays off at 13 to 1. If you bet $100 on that parlay and won, you’d win $1300.
The payouts are correspondingly higher, too.
Notice the discrepancy between the odds on the payout and the odds of winning. That difference is the vigorish, or “vig,” which is where the sports book makes its money.
Here’s how that amounts to a profit for the book:
- Take 17 parlays with those odds. The book collects $100 X 17 bets, or $1700.
- Since the odds are 16 to 1, they only expect to pay off a player once, for $1300.
- The other $400 is profit. Divide that $400 by 17 bets, and the book makes an average profit of $23.52.
That’s not a bad profit margin.
In most gambling businesses, the company makes its money by offering payout odds that are lower than the odds of winning. If you think of the odds as being similar to a fraction, you’ll understand why 1 in 16 is smaller than 1 in 13, even though 13 is smaller than 16. (It’s the same thing as saying 1/14 or 1/17.)
A 10-team parlay can make for a huge payout, by the way. A payout of 825 to 1 wouldn’t be unusual for such a bet, but the probability of winning that bet are bigger than that—1023 to 1.
Bet $100 on a 10-parlay, and you’re looking at winnings of $82,500.
This is a profitable parlay for the sportsbook, too, if you look at it statistically:
The book makes a smaller percentage profit, but on that kind of action, they can afford a smaller percentage profit.
If you think of it in terms of “the house edge,” like you would a casino game, you’re talking about a house edge that’s still 19.43%.
If you’re good at picking winners, you could theoretically make a profitable bet on a parlay. If, for example, you’re right 55% of the time instead of 50% of the time, your probability of winning the 4-game parlay skyrockets:
55% X 55% X 55% X 55% is 9.15%, or about 11 to 1.
With a 13 to 1 payout, it’s easy to see how a bettor comes out ahead, statistically.
You place 12 bets, and you win 1 of them. You have $1200 invested, but on the one bet you win, you win $1300. That’s a profit of $100 over 12 bets, or $8.33 per bet.
Getting an edge of 8.33% when you’re gambling is huge, by the way. You can’t get an edge like that even if you’re counting cards professionally (unless you’re also doing things like shuffle tracking, edge sorting, and/or hole carding, but that’s an entirely different blog post.)
What Kind of Parlay Cards Can You Make?
So far, the only examples I’ve used have been for bets on who’s going to win a football game. Parlay cards aren’t limited to the most basic bets, though. You can also place any of the following parlays at various sportsbooks:
- Moneyline
- Over/under
- Pleasers
- Point spread
- Teasers
A moneyline bet is one that doesn’t account for the point spread. You bet on who’s going to win, regardless of the strength of the teams. The payouts for bets on the favorite in a moneyline bet are smaller—sometimes MUCH smaller.
But if you can find an underdog or 2 that are going to pull off an upset, you can get a big payout on a parlay made up of moneyline bets.
An over/under bet is a bet on the total points scored in a game. The over/under is set by the handicappers at the sportsbooks, who project the final scores of each game. To get the total, you just add the scores for both teams together.
If the handicappers expect a high scoring game, the over/under will be a higher number than if they expect a low scoring game. Theoretically, the over/under number is set in such a way to give you a 50/50 probability of winning.
Combining multiple bets on the over/under can be a fun way to place a parlay bet.
A pleaser is a point spread bet where you’re given the opportunity to move the point spread to make it more likely that the book will win. You get a higher payout if you win, though.
A point spread bet is a bet on who’s going to win the game, but the strength of the teams are accounted for by giving the underdog points. This is the most common way to place a football bet, and if you’re making a single wager, you get an even money payout.
The point spread is set (theoretically) so that you get a 50/50 probability of winning.
A teaser is like a pleaser, only instead of moving the point spread to favor the book, you get to move the point spread to favor you. You get a lower payout if you win, though.
Teasers and pleasers are also available for over/under bets.
How to Make and Print Your Own Parlay Cards
You can find various websites where you can create your own parlay cards and print them. It would be best to print them on cardstock if you go this route.
Some of these sites even offer you parlay cards that already have all the numbers on them, but you can also choose to create your own numbers with their software.
ParlayCardsNow.com is one site which offers either option. You just input how you want the header to read, the name and date you want printed on the card, and your organization’s logo.
Then you have multiple lines where you can input the favorite and the underdog for each game in the parlay. You can also include the line (the point spread) and the over/under. Finally, you would include a section for the rules of the parlay and the payouts for the winners.
The parlay cards come out as PDF’s when you use the software on this site to create your parlay cards. They suggest that you uncheck the box that reads “fit to printable area,” as different printers have different parameters.
Football Parlay Cards
For their standard cards, this site uses Vegas odds, and the payoffs are as follows:
Of course, websites like this are in business to make money. They charge fees to access these cards, which can be bought on a weekly, 4-week, or season basis for $20, $60, or $140, respectively.
Another option would be to just find someone who has a little knowledge of how to create printable forms in Excel and have them design printable parlay cards for you. You’d probably need to give them an example to work from, but it wouldn’t be hard for them to create something you could use and re-use.
You’d be responsible for finding the point spreads for the games on the parlay card, though. This might be more trouble than you want to go to, but if you’re doing a lot of business taking action on parlays—maybe you’re getting your own bookmaking operation going—it’s probably worth the investment.
Conclusion
A parlay bet is one of the most entertaining bets a sports bettor can make, so if you’re running a bookmaking operation—even on a small basis—it’s probably worth offering these. It’s a combination bet that only pays off if the bettors gets all the bets in the combination right.
If you’re an individual sports bettor, you don’t have to worry about printing your parlay cards. The bookie you’re doing business with should be able to provide you with them. The trick is to beat the odds and win the payout.
The easiest way to make parlay cards is to use a subscription-based site that offers such functionality. Failing that, you just need to find a spreadsheet guru who can create fillable forms for you to use.
We’re headed into the final Saturday of the college football season, with several regular-season games and championship games set to decide the playoff contenders. We made it! It wasn’t easy, and there were plenty of cancellations in a strange, strange year. Congrats to the kids all across this nation for making it happen rather successfully.
Also see:College Football Upset Predictor
Let’s begin!
College football parlay predictions: Week 16
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1 p.m. ET.
Oklahoma -6.5 (-110) vs. Iowa State, Missouri -1 (-110) at Mississippi State and Tulsa +14.5 (-110) at Cincinnati
The Sooners and Cyclones hook up in the Big 12 Championship Game at Jerry World in Arlington. And yes, Iowa State did trip up Oklahoma by a 37-30 count in Ames back on Oct. 3.
However, the Sooners have made AT&T Stadium basically Norman South, winning five straight Big 12 title games, and seven of the past eight. Iowa State is playing in its first league championship game since 1912 and the lights will be too bright.
Missouri is a five-win team looking to improve its bowl positioning, while Mississippi State has just one win over winless Vanderbilt in its past eight outings. The Tigers have some injury issues along the D-line, but they’ll overcome them and win on the road.
The Golden Hurricane have cashed in seven of the past eight against the number, and they’re 6-1 ATS in the past seven as a ‘dog. The Bearcats are also hot against the number, going 4-1 ATS in the past five at home, but they’re just 1-4 ATS in the previous five at Nippert Stadium against teams with a winning road mark.
Possible profit ($100 bet): $595.79
How To Run A Football Play Clock
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Northwestern-Ohio State OVER 56.5 (-110), Air Force-Army UNDER 37.5 (-115) and Florida +17.5 (-115)
Like it or not, America, Ohio State is back in the Big Ten Championship Game for the fourth consecutive season, and the sixth time in the past eight years.
These teams actually met in the 2018 installment of the title game, with Ohio State pushing past Northwestern 45-24 for an Over result. You can expect a little bit of the same in this one.
Football Parlay Cards Online
For the Air Force-Army game, we won’t likely see the hellacious fog which shrouded Michie Stadium last week in the rivalry game against Navy. But we will see bone-chilling cold, with temperatures in the mid-20’s and perhaps some flurries. It won’t make much of a difference, as both sides keep it on the ground anyway. This will be another run-heavy, low-scoring defensive slog.
Gators QB Kyle Trask and the Gators will look to bounce back after a mortifying 37-34 overtime loss to LSU last week in The Swamp. Crimson Tide QB Mac Jones and company will be looking to feast on a Gators defense which allowed 418 yards to a Tigers side which wasn’t very good and was on a backup QB.
Still, Florida should be able to keep this game within two scores, as they have the offense to hang with anyone. Still, when the dust settles, somewhere Tim Tebow will be shedding tears after another Tide win over the Gators.
Football Parlay Ticket
Possible profit ($100 bet): $567.28
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How To Parlay Football
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